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Windows of Risk

  Trend following works until it doesn’t, investors and gurus from Soros to the universe of tweet-perts advocate following a trend and jumping into cash before a trend ends and prices are brought lower as supply hits the market. Everyone has different indicators and time frames for their trades; and in a terrible downdraft there [...]

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Looting a burning building

This is a great strategy for trading extreme emotions. When a trend collapses price will often slop about wildly until the market participants can settle on a new ‘fair price’ Best used on the shorter timeframes, do not use this strategy if you love the company, its product or the reasons for the preceding trend. [...]

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Trading Strategy #1 A Love Letter With Two Envelopes

A Trading Strategy for swing traders of equities using multiple moving average envelopes and the tzolkin count of the solar cycle.

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Quantative Tsunami coming?

QE2! Its here! Yep that’s what the market is telling us. Commodities find a bid and the deflationist commentators start to sound a little hoarse from quacking at the Treasury tree.  Looking about for more esoteric signs one wouldn’t look past the stories appearing in the UK media about the shear scale of counterfeiting of [...]

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LAYING PLANS – Finding Inflation inside deflation

“Under a paper-money system, a determined government can always generate higher spending and hence positive inflation.” – Ben Bernanke Global Risk The money supply was increased quickly as a response to the collapse of 2007 and 2008 and as a result the dollar was debased enabling government borrowing to be paid back with cheaper dollars. [...]

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